I personally think that what the U.S.-Russia
relationship lacks at this point is regularity, a
systemic approach to issues. Usually during the contacts
between the two sides, we discuss already-existing
problems and how to solve them; we do not try to
anticipate what may arise in the future or formulate a
course of action. I believe that we are witnessing the
beginning of a new dynamic in global affairs; we are at
the beginning of new and interesting developments.
Therefore, I would like to take the opportunity to
highlight some of the pertinent issues we think about in
Moscow.
First of all, we are thinking about ways to make the
work each side currently does by itself come together in
a joint operation--a proposal I discussed at the State
Department. Realistically, I do not see any issue of an
antagonistic nature between the two countries that would
preclude this. Of course, current relations are based
upon profound trust and frank exchange of information
but this depends greatly on the fact that the presidents
in office happen to be George W. Bush and Vladimir
Putin. We need to think about the ways in which the
bilateral relationship would be affected after these
leaders leave office. So, I believe that during this
window of opportunity provided by our two presidents, we
can move forward to "marry" Russia and the
United States, so that mutual integration and
understanding reach such a point that no other power can
break up our alliance.
One area that needs to be jointly explored concerns
deficiencies in international law. We are all aware of
the American attitude toward a bureaucratically
cumbersome and slow moving United Nations. Russia has a
similar attitude toward such behemoth structures; they
are too slow to make decisions in a fast-paced world.
International terrorism is one such issue. There is a
pressing need for an internationally recognized legal
definition of what terrorism is and the need for swift
reaction when such incidents occur. I believe that
various countries, to label their opponents (as
terrorists) or to pursue their own interests, can
exploit the continuing absence of a commonly accepted
definition.
There are also other defects that need to be
addressed. There are no accepted definitions or
provisions that can enable a country to formulate a
policy if it faces terrorist attacks emanating from the
territory of another state if the government of the
other state does not really control the territory where
the terrorists are based. Can a state use military force
against terrorist bases in another country, or would
this be interpreted as an act of war against a sovereign
state? Similarly, if a government of a given country
implements a policy of internal genocide against an
ethnic minority or some other part of its population, is
it legal for another state to employ force to prevent
this from occurring? If an outside power interferes in
such a situation—whether to protect the citizens of
another country (humanitarian intervention) or to curb
terrorist activity—what are the limits to such an
intervention? What acts are or are not legal, according
to international law?
All of these are serious issues. There are not really
any definite rules or codes of conduct in international
law. So, a country can either act unilaterally—and
face criticism for doing so—or it can try to act based
upon precedents set down by previous actions.
I think there is an ample set of issues for us to
work together, to get rid of vagueness in international
law, come up with solutions and set the trend for the
future development of international organizations. Such
a joint process would also allow for a much greater
understanding on the part of Russian society of various
American actions undertaken in areas adjacent to the
Russian Federation. To be very frank, I am frequently
challenged in heated debates about "What are the
true motives" behind U.S. actions in Central Asia,
Afghanistan and the Caucasus. I would like, however, to
ask a question of those of you who follow the Russian
media: have you found a strong reactions on the part of
the Russian government to the enlargement of NATO or the
creation of U.S. military bases in Central Asia—things
which would have been unheard of even a decade ago? Why
was there no adverse official reaction to the presence
in Georgia (even though we have problems due to its
adjacent location to Chechnya), or any emotional
hysterics on the part of the government concerning
American withdrawal from the ABM Treaty? Is it that
Russia has simply "swallowed" all of this, or
do we, perhaps, have some interests in such
developments?
Allow me to present a version of an explanation for
Russia's calm reactions, although it is not entirely my
own. Let's examine the enlargement of NATO.
Traditionally, NATO was seen by Russians as a military
bloc preparing for war with another military bloc (e. g.
the Warsaw Pact) or a single country (the USSR/Russia).
As NATO has expanded, however, have you witnessed any
military counterpositioning on our part? I can say: the
larger NATO becomes, the less of a threat it becomes for
Russia. So in a way we are very interested in having you
adopt all of our former companions. It does not change
the fact that we clearly know whom we have to talk to in
order to amend the situation in those countries.
If I may, allow me to relate a short story. I once
asked my father, a Soviet general, about whom we could
count on from among our Warsaw Pact allies in the event
of war with the West. He replied, "Maybe the East
Germans—the rest will flee." So why do we need
such allies--it is best you should have such allies! All
of this goes to the point that NATO is becoming less and
less of a military organization. Lacking a distinctive
enemy, a target that needs to be monitored, an army
becomes demoralized over time.
So, what is closer to our point of view concerning
security: NATO or some other security concept? I
actually like the approach put forth by Secretary of
Defense Donald Rumsfeld: creating flexible coalitions to
solve particular problems. I remember very well when in
February of last year when Deputy Secretary of Defense
Paul Wolfowitz mentioned this concept in Munich: all the
Europeans held their heads, while only Russia answered
with an emphatic YES!
We have already witnessed the first example of
flexible coalitions in action in Afghanistan. The United
States created a coalition—including with Russia—comprised
of states able to offer tangible assistance in dealing
with the Taliban. We are not the only ones who
understand the strategic evolution of NATO along these
lines—this point was also grasped by some of the new
members. I was recently in Slovenia, where I met with
the "Atlantic Association." I was surprised to
learn that the "Association of Slovenian
Mothers", for some reason, was opposed to Slovenian
membership in NATO. When Slovenia faced a threat of
invasion from Milosevic's Yugoslavia, there was a direct
threat. Today, however, who could attack tiny Slovenia?
They are shielded by Italy and Germany, both NATO
members who themselves have American troops on their
soil. No, the fear is that in joining NATO, young
Slovenians might be sent as part of NATO contingents to
Afghanistan or Iraq—the price of respecting
trans-Atlantic solidarity. For many of the new members,
when the fruit was forbidden, it seemed sweet, but it
might now not seem to be so desirable.
In my opinion, we do need an organization such as
NATO, but without a profound transformation from an
organization concerned with defense into one that can
promote security, it has no future. Can Russia
participate in NATO under such circumstances? It is not
for us to decide—we can't invite ourselves—but we
would not ignore the possibility. I can understand,
however, that some of our former allies in eastern
Europe might feel that they have only a few days to sit
around the table with the "civilized"
countries before the door is opened to admit the big
Russian bear. However, no comprehensive security
arrangements are conceivable without Russian
participation.
Let's also examine the question of American bases in
Central Asia. It bears repeating that Russian border
guards are on duty in many of the former republics of
the USSR. Now they are protecting American troops as
well. I pose this question: if the U.S. bases were not
there, if Russia and America were not cooperating in the
war on terror, how many lives would Russia have had to
sacrifice in order to stop Islamic fundamentalism alone
in Central Asia?
Despite some problems, we are creating a new quality
of relations between our countries. Provided that there
are sufficient and ongoing contacts, we know that U.S.
actions will not harm Russian interests. But that should
not be a reason for the United States to relax. Russia
has made its choices quite deliberately; we hope that
the world's largest military and economic superpower
will take Russian interests into account when it
formulates policy.
I do want to mention that there has not yet been a
corresponding degree of economic interaction that is
commensurate with the level of political understanding
achieved between our two countries. I believe that it is
in the strategic interests of the United States to
contribute to maximizing the development of Russia
because, as a continental power, Russia can further
defend U.S. security interests.
In the end, I propose that we make the next step:
move from mutual discussions to joint action. Russia and
the United States should not just be partners--we should
be allies.
Dimitry Rogozin is a member of the State Duma
of the Russian Federation and serves as the chairman of
its International Relations Committee. He is also the
Russian President's special representative for resolving
the status of the Kaliningrad enclave.
This article is adapted from remarks
made by Mr. Rogozin at The Nixon Center