Iraq and
Israel in
the EU: Peace through Accession?
May 14, 2003
By Leon Hadar
Now that the Anglo-American coalition has demonstrated its military might
in
However, the EU might opt for a "third way." It could follow the dramatic U.S.-led military victory, by striking a diplomatic coup that could put the Europeans in the Middle East's driver's seat. To achieve that, the Europeans should remove the obstacles to the prompt entry of Turkey into the EU. They should also announce their readiness to open negotiations with a free and democratic Iraq, as well as with Israel and an independent Palestinian state that could lead to latter’s gradual accession into the EU--albeit a goal that would take many years to achieve.
By adopting such a strategy of constructive engagement in the Middle East,
the EU could try, through the use of diplomatic and economic resources, to
achieve the kind of goals that the Bush Administration is trying to
advance through the usage of its military power: challenging the status
quo in the Middle East and pursuing peace and political/economic reform
there.
Indeed, it's time for the Europeans to conclude that they cannot continue
to secure their interests in a region, with which they maintain strategic,
business, and demographic ties, by burnishing their "pro-Arab"
credentials and by propping-up bankrupted corrupt political elites. That
policy may have helped to produce short-term economic interests and
re-direct the hostility of the “Arab street" against the United States.
However, perpetuating the rule of Arab autocrats has only helped to turn
the strategic and economic periphery of Europe into one of the least advanced and most unstable parts of the
global economy. The Middle East not only exports oil to the EU, but also hundreds of thousands of
poor and angry immigrants that have become a demographic time bomb.
While both the Israelis and the Palestinians regard
Washington as central to any resolution of their conflict, the EU remains
marginalized in the process. It is both the largest provider of aid to the
Palestinian Authority (PA) and Israel's most important trade
partner. However, the EU has failed to translate that economic leverage
into diplomatic influence.
Signaling to the Israelis and the Palestinians that a peaceful resolution to their conflict could be a ticket for admission into the EU, would be more than just enticing them with economic rewards. Conditioning Israel's entry into the EU on its agreement to withdraw from the occupied territories and dismantle the Jewish settlements there, would strengthen the hands of those Israelis who envision their state not as a militarized Jewish ghetto but as a Westernized liberal community.
The
tragic fate of the European Jewry served as the driving force for the
creation of Israel, and welcoming the Jewish
state into the European community makes historical and moral sense.
The prospect of joining the EU could help launch a process of economic and
political liberalization in an independent Palestine
and an Iraqi federation. In
the same way that the establishment of NAFTA produced pressure for
democratic reform in Mexico, the evolution of trade and
institutional ties between the EU, Palestine
and Iraq, and eventually
Jordan, Syria
and Lebanon, could lay the foundations
for a movement towards democracy in the entire Levant.
Indeed, the hopes for EU membership have already played a critical role in
accelerating democratic change in Turkey, leading to the collapse of
the old political order and the election of a reform-minded
Islamic-democratic party. Putting Turkey's EU membership
on hold only gives a boost to those in the military and the
nationalist and Islamic groups that want to reorient Ankara's foreign policy from the
West towards Iran, Russia
and China. If anything, the recent
tensions between Washington and Ankara over Iraq and the Kurds only
demonstrates that anchoring Turkey in the EU is both in the interest of
the Americans and the Europeans and could help also stabilize post-Saddam
Iraq.
The much-maligned Old Europe could end up providing the needed economic
and diplomatic resources and helping to create a New Middle East. Even a
unilateralist Washington should welcome such a role.
Leon
Hadar is a research fellow in foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute
(www.cato.org).