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NATO, Iraq and the
German-American Waltz
Sarah
Means Lohmann
Singing to the tune of German Foreign Minister
Joschka Fischer’s creative slogan: "War
Participation, No—Defense of the Alliance, Yes",
troubled German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder is lying to
his people, yet managing to keep a straight face. After
initially refusing the United States’ request for help
for a possible Iraq mission, the chancellor and his
foreign minister are now preparing the German people for
the token part they could play. While denying that
Germany will participate in the war, the chancellor has
said German soldiers could be sent to Turkey in NATO
surveillance planes that would be part of any war
effort.
As Mr. Schroeder tries to come up with a new meaning
for the phrase "war participation", the United
States is trying on a multilateral approach. The medium
for the United States’ approach, and the magnifier of
Schroeder’s discomfort: NATO. NATO’s new cooperation
on Iraq will be the testing ground for the survival of
the fragile German-American relationship.
The request for the AWACS surveillance planes –
including the German soldiers who man them - was part of
a four-point package Deputy Defense Secretary Paul
Wolfowitz requested of NATO for potential military
contributions in Iraq. Allies were asked to either
defend Turkey, coordinate peacekeeping in a post-war
Iraq, share assets with countries involved in combat, or
contribute manpower or assets directly. The package
ensures there is no room for German isolationism or
American unilateralism. It puts legs to the new vision
for NATO as outlined by
President Bush at the NATO summit: to become a
military organization able "to meet the threats
from global terrorists." The NATO summit’s host,
Czech President Vaclav Havel, further clarified that
mission: "Let us realize that it is not the United
States, but the European part of the alliance, that
directly borders on that country, and I believe that
this kind of a test of its attitude, of its capability
to reach agreement, and of its operative capabilities
might be, at the same time, a test if its new identity,
and of its meaning in the world today."
In five minutes, President Bush and President Havel
redefined NATO’s territory of influence from a focus
on Europe to a focus on the Middle East. The new mission
would include protecting the alliance from the threats
of terrorists and tyrants, and the degree of cooperation
on engagement in Iraq would be a measuring stick of the
alliance’s identity. Until just days before the
summit, General Harald Kujat, the head of the NATO
military council, among others, was denying that Iraq
was a subject for NATO. Another European NATO official
had said in Berlin: "Though the out-of-area debate
is behind us, the Middle East is not an area of NATO
influence. We have never been engaged in the Middle
East. Iraq is not a topic for NATO."
Yet in Prague, not a single ally spoke against this
new stated vision statement for NATO, which one
commentator at the summit paraphrased as "keep
democrats in, tyrants out and terrorists down" as a
substitute for NATO’s Cold War mission to "keep
the Americans in, the Russians out and the Germans
down." Was this another case of the Americans
brow-beating the Europeans into serving it own security
interests, or was this new NATO mission, adopted with an
eye toward Baghdad, one that would serve Europe as well
as the United States? And where was Europe in that
decision-making process?
While the United States gave the mission a voice, the
Europeans were not only conscious of the direction the
alliance was headed in the months leading up to the
Prague summit, but were intimately involved in shaping
how the mission would be carried out. While the
Schroeder government was critiquing America’s Iraq
policy during his reelection campaign, British Prime
Minister Tony Blair and French President Jacques Chirac
were meeting with President Bush –and redirecting his
war plans – from a policy of unilaterally overthrowing
a dictator by force to working through the United
Nations to rid Iraq of its weapons of mass destruction.
Within Europe, Germany alone initially ruled out
participating in a military mission in Iraq. Whether
this is a result of feeling slighted by the United
States’ lack of interest, or whether it was merely a
political ploy of one lonely politician desperate to
hold on to power, it has now left Germany at a
crossroads in its relationship to the United States.
Now, as the United States has moved toward Europe in
Prague and is working with the United Nations, German
Defense Minister Peter Struck could not help but notice:
"The American unilateral way has become more
multilateral," he said at the NATO summit in
Prague. But will this change Germany’s actions?
Dr. Peter Rudolf, a researcher at the German
Institute for International and Security
Affairs (Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)) argues
that there are three options for the way conflicts can
be handled in the German-American relationship:
bandwagoning, balancing or cooperative confrontation.
That is, it can agree with the Americans because of
similar interests, it can balance the American position
with its own position, or it can avoid cooperation in
order to influence the American position, and in the
hopes of better cooperation in the future.
As the Schroeder government is not likely to do any
bandwagoning with the Bush Administration in the near
future, the best that could be hoped for at this point
is that Germany is able to see the virtue of providing a
balanced complimentary position as France and Britain
did in the Iraq debate. After all, the Prague Summit
demonstrated that the United States remained interested
in a viable North Atlantic alliance and that it remained
committed to transforming NATO from a Cold War relic to
a modern military institution capable of fighting today’s
threats.
Yet, the Europeans are wary of America’s
schizophrenic involvement with the alliance, and are
tired of being assigned the role of post-war
international janitor. They are not hesitant to say so.
Defense Secretary Rumsfeld’s proposal for a
rapid-reaction strike force was an answer to that
complaint. It fused American interest in broadening the
scope of the alliance’s mission to fight terrorism
with Europe’s interest to keep the United States
engaged as a European power and have readily-deployable
forces that could protect their own security interests.
In Rumsfeld’s strike force for high-intensity
warfare, 21,000 air ground and sea troops could be able
to adopt a combat position within seven to 30 days to
wherever needed as decided on by the North Atlantic
Council. This multinational force would ensure that
allies continue working together on a military level,
not just a political one. It would also push the
Europeans to upgrade their capabilities to make the
strike force possible, and pave the way for the
Europeans to have their own independent military force.
But where to use this force? Europe is now at peace.
It is beyond Europe--and more specifically, the Middle
East--where some of the greatest present day threats to
the security of NATO countries emanate. There,
terrorists are recruited, trained and financed. There,
weapons of mass destruction are in the hands of tyrants,
as in Iraq and Iran. There, the Palestinian-Israeli
conflict destabilizes the entire region. A revitalized
NATO could use its assets of interoperability and its
emerging capabilities to project power through rapidly
deployable troops to help transform the Middle East.
This could mean providing munitions and manpower in a
military operation in Iraq to uphold the United Nations
resolution to disarm Iraq--or it could mean NATO could
help keep the peace in a post-conflict Iraq.
Germany's position on Iraq and its willingness to
take part in or to stymie NATO operations revolving
around Iraq has great significance for Germany's level
of influence in the alliance. Germany alone cannot doom
the alliance to irrelevance. It can, however, influence
the cohesion and slow the reformation of the alliance as
NATO gains new capabilities to defend threats to
trans-Atlantic security emanating from beyond Europe.
Germany' s own military readiness is made a casualty of
election politics when it says the Middle East is too
far away or too dangerous for the alliance to bother
with.
When an ally rules out the Middle East as a place
where NATO should defend trans-Atlantic security, it
opens the door for an alliance of talking heads, whose
political influence wanes with its military
incapabilities. An alliance blind to threats emanating
from beyond Europe will drift into irrelevance. In
essence, such a short-sighted NATO deteriorates into a
rotary club for countries who meet annually for gala
evenings, talk about their newest members and how the
Balkans are faring, and go home with little more of an
idea of their mission than when they came.
Sarah Means Lohmann is a journalist and a
Fulbright scholar living in Berlin.
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