Whither
South Korea?
President-elect Roh’s Dubious Foreign Policy Posture
January
29, 2003
By Chang
Choon Lee
Some ten years ago I predicted, “As North Korea
sees its nuclear program as the sine
qua non to its regime survival, it is only too evident that it will
never give up on its nuclear ambitions.” Recent events indicate that
nuclear diplomacy vis-à-vis the DPRK over the past ten years has been for
naught and any wishful notions of or hasty trust in a nuclear-free Korean
peninsula have turned out to be a pipe dream. Yet voices calling for
dialogue and diplomacy as the means to purportedly resolving this
impenetrable problem grow louder by the day.
Perhaps such sanguine views might come from the sayings that there
never was a “good war” or a “bad peace” and that diplomacy never
takes “no” for an answer.
We must be blunt: Pyongyang’s nuclear problem cannot be
fully resolved without fundamental changes to the Stalinist system of
North Korea. More worrisome, for now, is the damage that has been done to
the relationship between Seoul and Washington—and the volatile situation
in the Korean peninsula that might further trigger dangerous developments.
Diplomacy as a solution to the challenge presented by
Pyongyang's nuclear program has failed. What now remains for South Korea
is to choose one of the following options.
It can join U.S.-led international efforts designed to bring an end
to the totalitarian regime in Pyongyang. Or it can repudiate the link to
Washington and embrace the north in a paroxysm of ethnic nationalism.
In his recent meeting with the American presidential envoy
James Kelly, president-elect Roh Moo Hyun is reported to have reaffirmed
the importance of the Seoul-Washington alliance. It should be remembered,
however, that the same positive emphasis was made at the time of the first
summit between presidents Kim Dae Jung and George W. Bush in early March
2001. However, subsequently ROK-US relations rapidly deteriorated, to the
point where a prominent American newspaper has denounced Kim as the
“most anti-American president” in South Korean history.
The fact that expressions such as "precious" or
"important” were ceremoniously used in diplomatic language to
characterize the ties between Washington and Seoul is not sufficient to
ameliorate the ailing ROK-U.S. relationship that is now awash with
distrust and discomfort. This is all more the case because Roh's other
remarks have contributed to making Seoul one of Washington’s “biggest
foreign policy problems.”
Roh rode to victory on the crest of widespread
anti-American sentiments in South Korea.
Undoubtedly, he will remain obligated to these forces that helped
propel him to power. Roh, however, needs to recognize that there is a
major difference between being a candidate and being a president.
He must prevent his domestic political debts from affecting South
Korea's diplomatic posture. The world of diplomacy differs from domestic
politics in that normal states, even those with the advantage of enormous
national power, tend to apply, for the sake of long-term national
interests, a complex array of intelligence and tact to subtly advance
their agenda.
Unfortunately, Roh, in his quest to enhance, in his view,
South Korea's dignity as a sovereign state, has, in a matter of only a few
weeks, ruffled relations with Washington.
Despite the enormous disparities in military power, he has demanded
that South Korea be treated as an equal partner in the ROK-U.S.
relationship. He has
attempted to position himself as a mediator between Washington and
Pyongyang. He has even
insinuated the possible withdrawal of American forces from South Korea.
Yet, South Korea, in contrast to many other countries with
comparable national power, faces more constraints in the conduct of its
foreign affairs, with little margin for error.
Not only is there the intractable problem of North Korea, there is
the geo-strategic reality that the Korean peninsula is the focal point for
the interaction of four major regional powers in northeast Asia.
If President-elect Roh wishes to successfully conduct foreign
policy, he needs to correct his erroneous diplomatic stance, re-evaluate
his public statements and rein in those superfluous voices who pontificate
about foreign policy with an eye to domestic politics.
In short, Roh must be realistic, bearing in mind the constraints
and margins within which South Korean foreign policy must operate.
Roh's rhetoric notwithstanding, there is no wholly
sovereign state in the real world today. The United States is no
exception. Sovereign equality is but a textbook principle. The
international political system is oligarchic in its structure and
operation, as exemplified in the composition of the United Nations
Security Council. On the other hand, it has become the general trend of
the past several decades that the more states surrender their sovereignty
for a larger good (e. g., regional integration or the creation of a
multilateral alliance), the more they prosper. European integration—via
the European Union and NATO—is a prime example. Only when states wish to
shield themselves from their responsibilities do they loudly proclaim
their intent to defend their sovereignty and pride. That such a hoarse and
bitter refrain habitually emanates from the North Korean state—an
international pariah without parallel, that has starved to death millions
of its citizens—should come as no surprise. It
is, however, ironic that South Korea—one of the globe's ten largest
economies, whose prosperity is built upon trade with and openness to the
rest of the world—is tempted to sing such a woeful mantra of
"sovereignty", particularly to the ears of the one ally
indispensable to its security and well-being.
Even more woeful than self-pitying declamations of
sovereignty are elegiac songs of ethnic nationalism. Ethnic nationalism
was a powerful ideology that helped to sustain resistance to Japanese
imperialism (from 1910 to the close of World War II).
Certainly, ethnic nationalism served as a vociferous instrument for
power manipulation in the formative stage of nation-building—not only in
Korea but also in many other post-colonial societies. However, it must be
noted that, for an emerging global actor like South Korea, a state on the
threshold of joining the club of advanced industrial nations, such an
overt display of ethnic nationalism threatens South Korea's interests that
are firmly embedded in the continuation of the global system that American
power maintains. For South Korea, one of the major success stories (in
terms both of its industrialization and its democratization) of the second
half of the twentieth century to espouse the myths of "shared Korean
ethnicity" and to embrace the unreconstructed dictatorship of North
Korea is a summons to catastrophe like no other.
Candlelight demonstrations across the whole of South Korea
were extremely successful in politically capitalizing on the accidental
deaths of two Korean schoolgirls by an armored vehicle of the U.S. Army in
the run-up to the presidential election in December. Appeals to romantic
nationalism have played a crucial role in sustaining a popular chorus of
anti-American sentiment that appeals to the emotions but neglects to
ponder what South Korea's real interests are. It should not be repeated
again. The campaign is over. Now,
it is time for president-elect Roh to behave like a statesman, not a
politician.
The louder a state clamors for its sovereign dignity and
prestige, the less honorable it becomes in the eyes of the world public.
The harder it exerts self-control and shows fortitude, the higher it is
held in esteem. South
Korea’s national dignity and prestige will further rise as it enjoys
trust and respect from the civilized world.
The author is a former assistant minister of foreign
affairs of South Korea and served as his country’s ambassador
respectively to Singapore, Austria, the IAEA, and the Philippines. He
teaches diplomacy and international relations at Myongji University in
Seoul. This piece is
adapted from an essay published in Joongang
Ilbo (January 17, 2003).
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