What is the G-8 and Why is Russia in It?
May 12, 2004
By Ira Straus
Russia’s involvement in the Group of 8 (G-8) is
promising in both for Russia and for the G-8. It is
promising for
Russia
-- and for those Americans who want a friendly and
Westernizing Russia -- as the best venue thus far
developed for sustaining and strengthening Russia’s
connection with the West. And it is promising for the
G-8 as an institution – as a way of enhancing its own
importance.
There are opportunities in this situation that the West could be exploring.
Unfortunately, the West is damaging its interests by focusing its discussion
instead on thoughts of expelling Russia from the G-8.
The G-8 is a good fit for Russia. It is the widest major Western institution
geographically: it is both transatlantic and trans-Pacific. With Russia
included, it is now pan-North. The “North” is a grouping that has important
things its countries need to do together. When it is united, the world is
fairly cohesive; when it is divided, the world is torn into conflict as it
was throughout the twentieth century, Adding Russia has not detracted from
the Group’s identity, either in a purposive or a geographical sense; on
balance it has strengthened that identity by filling a hole in it.
The G-8 is also the widest-ranging of the Western institutions in its
subject-matter. It is open to dealing with every aspect of mutual
cooperation and of global governance -- everything, in fact, on which
Russia
and the Western countries have common business. It has a better fit to the
contours of Russia-West business than most of the other Western
institutions.
Further, the G-8 is an institution against which
Russia
has no Cold War hang-ups. It, in turn, has no Cold War hang-ups against
Russia, a virtue owed to one of its vices: it has no permanent staff that
could have accumulated such hang-ups or “milieu culture.” As an institution,
it has minimal structure; it could probably use more baggage, but meanwhile
it adapts easily. Its one sphere of semi-formalized cooperation --
macroeconomic supervision and central bank coordination on currency
intervention -- is one that Russia is not a part of, for honest technical
reasons (not political reasons masquerading for diplomatic purposes as
innocuous technical ones, as is often the case in NATO). However, the
defining part of the G-8 -- the Summit -- is completely flexible. It holds a
large potential for institutional development underneath itself, but over
the decades this potential has gone almost completely unrealized.
Russia began speaking of joining the G-8 -- or rather the G-7, as it was
then known -- in Gorbachev’s time. Westerners in turn began talking of
bringing in
Russia during
the last years of the Gorbachev era. In the subsequent decade, Russia
gradually was in fact brought in, first as an observer or guest, then as a
participant in a “G-7 + 1”, then as a part of the “political G-8.” Nowadays
it is usually described simply as “a member of the G-8.” At each stage of
its inclusion, its involvement proved advantageous to both sides. Today the
G-8 is the one transatlantic institution in which
Russia
is a clear-cut member: in all the others,
Russia
is still in a process of joining or still left out.
Indeed, the G-8 is the one Western institution that
Russia
not only supports but would like to see strengthened. This is partly because
it is a member; partly because there is a natural affinity, which enables it
to identify with the grouping once it has become a member (presumably Russia
would not want to strengthen some other groupings, such as the Organization
of the Islamic Conference, in which it participates). As such, it is perhaps
an indication of the support that can be hoped for once
Russia
joins the other Western institutions. Sergei Karaganov has long maintained
that, in the case of NATO, Russia will continue viewing it with fear as long
as it is on the outside, but will become a NATO supporter once Russia
becomes a member of it. This comports with elementary realist logic and with
Russia’s own repeated “dialectical” formulations that what it is against is
not NATO per se, NATO’s use of power nor NATO expansion per se, but the use
of power and the expansion of a NATO in which Russia is not included or does
not have sufficient voice in its decisions. However, it does not comport
with NATO’s evaluations of Russian attitudes, which have generally followed
a simpler categorization as either “pro” or “anti-NATO” without reference to
qualifying conditions. This oversimplified method of evaluation in the West
creates a difficult new hurdle for
Russia,
arguably a vicious circularity. In the case of the G-7, Russia was never
very much “anti”, whether conditionally or otherwise, so it did not have the
same hurdle to surmount. In any event, it is the G-8 that Russia is in now,
and that Russia supports.
Benefits of Russian Support for the G-8
Having Russian support for a pan-Western institution is not an unimportant
thing. It adds significantly to the global strength of the institution. It
not only adds Russia’s material strengths, which are still considerable; it
also adds acceptance of the institution’s legitimacy by those around the
world who are clients of Russia, particularly those who are in varying
degrees its “moral clients” -- a sometimes large category, Moscow developed
a vast moral clientele during the Cold War, comprising a number of
governments along with secular radical forces inside nearly every country in
the world.
Russia’s reinforcement of a pan-Western institution in turn entails, more
specifically, reinforcement of the strength and legitimacy of Western global
leadership. This is a factor that is if some importance to Americans at this
time of strong American-Western pretensions to the leadership.
Further, Russia’s support for the Western institution has the potential of
adding a political impetus from Russia -- a country that still has some
innovative capabilities in this period of its transformation -- to the
processes of developing the G-8. It is very much in the West’s interests for
its common institutions and arrangements to grow more effective, but this is
something that is never achieved easily in face of the resistance of
entrenched interests within each country and government. It is to the
advantage of the West to have
Russia
acting as a new force for moving the process forward.
By contrast, it has been to the disadvantage of the West to have Russia
sitting uncomfortably on the outside, acting as a nervous, fearful critic of
Western unity. Its objections from the outside have often able to slow down
the progress of Western integration; as we have noted, Russia always had a
moral clientele in the West, and in any case Western diplomats, while often
slow after 1989 to see how to bring Russia indoors, have generally
considered it unwise to trample too hard on Russia while keeping it outside.
During the Cold War, Russia would have liked to split the Western alliance;
it became so habitual to accuse Russia of trying to “divide and deceive the
West” that Russia is still often accused in NATO circles of wanting to do
this, and much of the Western elite believed up to 1990 that this was the
real purpose behind Gorbachev’s reforms. Today, however, what
Russia
wants to do -- at least in the case of the G-8 -- is not to divide and
deceive, but to further unite and strengthen the West.
Russia could be said to harbor great ambitions for the G-8 -- the sort of
ambitions one might think ought to be found in the West, and of which the
West could be viewed as being perversely lacking.
Russia
views the G-8 as an increasingly important venue for global governance; some
of its analysts have described it as a kind of emerging “world government”,
supplementing although not completely replacing the UN Security Council,
which suffers from being stuck in the 1945 mould. Russian views on the most
urgent tasks for global governance -- the war on terrorism and the struggle
against proliferation -- fit in with the views of the other G-8 countries,
particularly the U.S.
Yet, instead of building on this support in order to upgrade the G-8, the
talk in the West nowadays is of kicking
Russia
out of the G-8. This is supposed to be a way of teaching it an object lesson
about democracy, although it would likely have the opposite effect. And it
would be damaging to the West’s own interests.
What has gone wrong? Where has Western thinking on the subject gone off
course?
Misunderstanding of the G-8 in the West
Part of the problem is a misunderstanding of what the G-8 is. Many of the
“expel Russia” proponents are focused on Russia, not on the Atlantic
institutions per se. It is a hiatus in which, to be sure, they are far from
alone: in general there is a lack of an adequate public framework in the
West for conceptualizing the Atlantic institutions. Several of expulsionists
have said -- a few have told me personally -- that it “makes sense” to drop
Russia from the G-8 because “the G-8 is a club of democracies.” They don’t
ask whether it would be practically useful to expel Russia; they simply feel
that doing this would in some sense be “appropriate” to their image of the
G-8.
In reality, the G-8 is not a club of democracies, nor a school of democracy,
nor a place to be giving grades on democratic purity; to find that kind of
institution, the places to look are the Council of Europe and the fledgling
global Community of Democracies. It would make sense to discuss whether
Russia is democratic enough to “belong” in these clubs. But that is not what
the G-8 is about.
The G-8 is a practical institution for dealing with joint problems. It is a
part of the extended Atlantic grouping of institutions that includes NATO,
OECD, IEA, hazmat suppliers clubs, IEA, NPA, and other institutions, almost
all of which Russia is affiliated with and some of which have already
included Russia as a member.
The G-7 was formed originally in the 1970s for maintaining economic
coordination among the Western powers after the collapse of the original
Bretton Woods currency system. It gradually took on a broader role as a
general foreign affairs summit of the Western powers. It was upgraded in its
economic functions by Treasury Secretary James Baker in the mid-1980s. It
gradually upgraded itself in its political functions by widening its subject
matter at a number of summits. It was further upgraded in these political
functions by its expansion to a G-8 with Russia -- functions, it should be
reiterated for the sake of clarify, that consist of foreign policy
coordination, not mutual political education or training in democracy.
Russia’s inclusion was a natural step and one that proved helpful to the
Group.
The G-8’s original members were drawn from the largest countries in the
OECD, which existed for more than a decade prior to the G-7’s formation.
Since Russia intends to join the OECD, and since the OECD has decided that
it intends to have Russia as a member once Russia meets the technical and
economic conditions, the G-8 summit, with its less formal and technical
role, is the logical place for
Russia
at this stage.
Some, such as James Huntley, have seen the G-8, with its summits on the
highest level, as the venue where there is more potential energy and
visibility than the other transatlantic institutions, and have proposed
building on this fact. They have advocated giving the G-8 a secretariat for
continuity of work, tasking it with energizing the entire set of Atlantic
institutions by planning initiatives for them, and making it the public face
for these institutions collectively. In this way, the G-8 would provide the
Atlantic institutions a collective identity and visibility as an
international community of nations; in effect it would give a new lease on
life to what used to be called “the Atlantic community”. Whether or not this
vision comes to pass, the prospects for an evolution in this direction are
certainly enhanced by the inclusion of Russia in the G-8 and the political
upgrading it has already brought.
Nothing in international life is ever a perfect fit, and Russia is not a
perfect fit to the old G-7. It is not a perfect fit economically, yet even
in this sphere its presence can help fill out the Group’s global hegemony by
adding Russia’s tremendous natural resources -- oil, gas, and other
essential minerals -- to fill in the major hole of mineral supply insecurity
that hitherto plagued the G-7. It is not a perfect fit politically, yet
neither was Japan for a period of decades when it had a hegemonic regime
that regularly racked up majorities similar to Putin’s; and membership was
helpful in creating the space and confidence for the Japanese consensus
system of quasi-democracy to evolve peacefully into a more pluralistic
Western-style system. Russia is also not the only country in the history of
the Group to suffer undue vilification: a wave of Japan-bashing in the 1980s
and early 1990s, replete with conspiracy theories about the Japanese elite
pretending to run a Western market economy and democracy but actually
preparing for its return to global domination, threatened the cohesion of
the group even more than the exaggerated bashing of Russia’s political
evolution does today. There is every reason to stop exaggerating about
Russia’s differences from the rest of the Group, and instead to build on the
opportunities inherent in the essentially sound fit that has existed and
continues to exist between the Group and
Russia.
Ira Straus is
U.S.
coordinator of the Committee on Eastern Europe
and Russia
in NATO.
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