Democracy for the People
February 4, 2004
By Nikolas Gvosdev
The more I listen to people in Washington talk about
"democracy promotion", the more I am reminded of the
discussion in Catch-22 between Yossarian and the
Texan about voting. The wounded soldier from the Lone
Star state is concerned that the system of one person,
one vote allows unworthy citizens to exercise undue
influence, and that, to correct this, the virtuous
should be allotted extra votes.
Democracy is a
tricky thing. In political Russian, two words can be used to render the word
“democracy.” Demokratiya has come to designate the formal
process—elections, transfer of power, rule of law. A number of the leftist
parties, however, draw a distinction between demokratiya and another
Russian word which is the literal translation from Greek—narodovlastie
(people’s power)—which implies that a regime defends the popular interest
and welfare. So, following this logic, it is possible to have a democratic
electoral system where the people can choose, but only between a series of
unpleasant and unpalatable alternatives--in essence, voting for the lesser
of evils--without feeling that their specific interests are represented.
From the American
side, the risk is that the "wrong" people will be elected or will come to
power. So what happens when a democratic or semi-democratic process produces
what are, in our view or assessment, unfavorable results? Russia provides
an interesting test.
The Russian
electoral process is flawed—there is no doubt about this. The Putin
Administration does possess formidable administrative resources which have
enabled it to sway the course of elections. Yet for all the problems, there
is no indication that the December 2003 Duma elections are fundamentally
unaligned with popular sentiment.
So the results need
to be impinged. Apparently the average Russian voter is easily duped and
desires nothing more than the continuation of despotic rule. The new
legislature is apparently peopled by hacks and criminals (of course, this
brings fond memories of that pop-culture e-mail that circulates around
American inboxes that lists in precise detail the rogues in our own
Congress).
But the underlying
message is that the unabashedly pro-Western parties – the ones that are AEI-approved
and Brookings-compliant, whose representatives speak perfect English and are
lionized by Washingtonians – haven't been able to win votes. Even the
Kremlin was surprised by the results, because there were some indications
that both liberal democratic parties would be able to surmount the low 5
percent threshold for representation in the Duma.
Both liberal parties
are re-assessing their strategies, and one heartening sign is that the Union
of Right Forces is committing itself to a massive campaign of party-building
and recruiting in the provinces – in those areas where their campaign ads –
showing party leaders flying in a private jet over Russia –probably didn't
have much appeal to people impoverished after a decade of "reforms."
Or perhaps the
solution is to give members of Russia's intelligentsia three votes.
What does this say
about plans to democratize the Middle East? An Iraqi democracy is not likely
to make Ahmad Chalabi the new president, certainly not if Ayatollah Sistani
has anything to say about it.
And this raises a
more critical question. There has been an interesting development, a
convergence between some liberals and conservatives in Washington who blame
America for dictatorial and authoritarian regimes in the Arab world. This is
ludicrous. Certainly the United States may not have pushed hard for
democracy – a valid criticism, but it did not impose the current regimes
either. So to think that the reverse is true – that the Arab world should
consider democracy a gift from the United States – is also far-fetched. And
this leaves open the possibility that pro-American politicians may not
succeed in a truly democratic Arab state.
After all, in a
country like Jordan, the monarchy has found it expedient both to retain an
electoral system that favors "East Bank" natives as opposed to Palestinians,
who might end up choosing more radical, anti-American candidates and to
simply delay or postpone elections when needed.
Our interests in
Iraq – and in other parts of the world – are best served when there are
governments in place that are democratic not only in a procedural sense but
in the sense, that most of the citizens accept the regime as legitimate and
believe that it serves and protects their interests. Because U.S. interests
are more secure when another government can define what its interests are
and we both can find an acceptable modus vivendi. A shared community
of interests – not a shared community of values--provides for a more stable
international order.
Writing in these
pages last week, Nicolai Petro cautioned, "Forcing
the concept of democracy to serve as a veneer for
U.S. policy will ultimately
damage both U.S. interests and democracy." It's sound advice to consider.
Nikolas K. Gvosdev is editor of In the National Interest. |